Разработка проектов отходы-в-энергию вызывает массу проблем, и одной из самых больших из них является цена. Существует так много волшебных сказок об этом бизнесе, так много фантастических технологий предлагается по очень низким ценам, что это создаёт ложные ожидания клиентов относительно уровня цен. Клиенту надо бы представлять средний уровень цен в индустрии, прежде чем входить в проект.

Недавно мы показали, что нет другой точки отсчёта для любой технологии отходы-в-энергию, кроме инсинерации, поскольку это наиболее превалирующая и проверенная технология термической обработки в мире на настоящее время, нравится вам это или нет. Каждый вновь создаваемый завод должен сравниваться с ценой на инсинератор той же мощности. Но каков уровень цен на инсинераторы и как он меняется в зависимости от мощности завода?

Основываясь на нашем опыте строительства и контактах с лучшими мировыми производителями, мы считаем, что цена на инсинераторы хорошо описана в недавнем независимом исследовании, выдержка из которого может быть загружена в формате pdf с нашего сайта. Исследование содержит следующую эмпирическую формулу:

I = 2.3507×C0.7753,
где I – инвестиции в миллионах долларов и C – мощность завода (1000 метрических тонн отходов в год).

CAPEX-of-incineration-plant

Стоимость инсинератора по формуле

В соответствии с формулой, цена завода мощностью 40,000 тонн в год составляет $41 млн, или $1,026 за тонну годовой производительности. Завод средней мощности в 250,000 тонн должен стоить $169 млн, или $680 за тонну годовой производительности. Эти цифры дают нам первое приближение, насколько затратна технология отходы-в-энергию, и, что более важно, довольно адекватную зависимость капитальных вложений на тонну годовой мощности от самой мощности (синяя кривая).

CAPEX
USD MM
Unit price
USD/tpa

Вот простой калькулятор, который позволяет получить данные для заданной годовой производительности.

Мы должны понимать, что обсуждаемая формула относится к заводам по переработке твёрдых бытовых отходов (ТБО) в электричество и может варьироваться в зависимости от применяемой технологии – это может быть сжигание на решётке или в кипящем слое. Переработка опасных медицинских и промышленных отходов стоит существенно выше, требует применения вращающихся печей на больших объёмах и ещё более совершенную систему газоочистки.

На рынке ведётся масса разговоров относительно стоимости заводов отходы-в-энергию, и ряд компаний делают заманчивые предложения, но все они имеют одну и ту же проблему – ничего не работает. Клиент должен требовать от лоукостера показать, что тот имеет в коммерческой эксплуатации. И после предсказуемого ответа, вернуться к коммерчески подтверждённым технологиям. Неважно, что это будет: пиролиз, газификация, инсинерация или плазменная переработка – отклонение цены от вышеизложенного будет не более, чем +-50%.

Это рынок. Здесь нет чудес.

Update

Мы запустили онлайн-сервис для оценки экономической эффективности завода отходы-в-энергию. Если вы знаете входные параметры вашего предполагаемого завода, вы можете запросить финансовое моделирование по ссылке ниже.

Similar Posts

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

The development of waste-to-energy facilities encounters some problems. One of the biggest among them is the cost of an incineration plant. There are so many fairy tales about this business, so many fantastic technologies offered at very low prices. This creates wrong expectations of clients concerning price level. A client should recognize the average price level in the industry before commencing the project.

We recently showed that there is no other reference point for any waste-to-energy technology except the incineration plant. It is the most prevalent and approved thermal treatment technology in the world so far, do you like it or not. Every newly developed facility should be compared with the price of an incineration plant with a similar capacity. But what is the price level of incineration and how does it change with capacity?

Basing on our construction experience and contacts with the world top producers, we understand the cost of an incineration plant. We consider that the following independent research describes the capital cost of the waste-to-energy plant properly. You can download its abstract in pdf from our site. The research contains the following empiric formula:

I = 2.3507×C0.7753,
where I is the investment cost in million dollars and C is the plant capacity (1000 metric tons of waste/year).

Continue reading “Cost of incineration plant”

Similar Posts

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

78 Comments

  1. Hello! Mr. Igor Gergel !
    I think your formula is very reasonable. It is really useful to estimate the cost for WTE plant.
    My company is a company which supply wte system facility.
    So, I would like to know what percentage of the cost is allocated to system facilities(incinerator, burner, turbine and generator), construction, installation, and others.
    Of course, it is difficult to estimate exactly the each part of cost since its situation is so different according to the land, country, human labor etc. But I want to get just approximate data.
    I hope your quick reply.
    Thank you very much!

    Lee, Kisong in Korea.
    (my company is TGEP)

  2. I would be very thankful to give me information about How much does the municipality cost to build a 1000 ton per day waste-incineration plant for the year 2024
    With best regards
    Choobdar.E

  3. Dear Igor
    This formula to calculate the CAPEX was published in 2015. I am worried about whether the formula would be accurate to use in 2024, as various conditions such as inflation, and rise in prices of machines are to be considered. And can i use this formula to calculate the CAPEX for a pre-feasibility study on waste-to-energy conversion?

    1. Dear Rajesh,

      Yes, you are right – it was published years ago. But we have two counter processes: inflation and reduction of the equipment cost. So, the formula remains valid now not only in the sense of the curve, but more or less following absolute numbers for the EU producers.

    1. The quotation for the plant can be done upon the feasibility study only. It is a costly and time consuming process. You can use calculator in the article to estimate the cost.

  4. Igor,
    Can we put coal in your conversion equipment, extract Bio Diesel, then reuse the coal in our power plant@ a higher BTU burn?

    Thanks,
    Pat

    1. Pat,

      You can put coal into pyrolysis equipment and extract bio-diesel. It is impossible to re-use coal after pyrolysis, as it converts its energy into diesel.

    1. I’m intrested in your wte solutions for one of my clients in the gulf region, please provide with contact information for one of your experts to discuss further…

  5. Would you like to build base to energy power plan in Philippine you’d like to know what do you need from us thank you

    1. Dear Bruce,

      Thank you for contacting us. We are interested to cooperate with you in the Philippines. I have answered in detail by email.

  6. I am evaluating the utility of hydrothermal processing of MSW to produce an engineered fuel pellet, technology similar to Hokuto Kougyo Co.(Hokuto) of Japan. Are you familiar with this process technology and offer consulting services for new entries into this space?

    1. Dear Travis,

      We can provide consulting services for a variety of waste processing applications. Could you please ask your questions via our email?

  7. Hi, can you’re technology be used to include hydrogen as a secondary raw material?

  8. Hi! I am Thuy from Vietnam. Now I am doing my exercise as how to calculate the variable cost of a WtE power plant. I am very confused. Could you please kindly suggest any idea?

    1. Hi Thuy,

      You can estimate annual operating expenses (OPEX) as 5-10% of the CAPEX of the plant.

  9. My name is Jessie Barber. I am writing a paper in school about the problems of a nearby landfill. My solution to fix this problem would be to build an incinerator. I am not very knowledgeable about incinerators overall. I have been reading a lot about these services and I hoped you give give me some information that could help me report. The landfill is located in Bristol VA in an old quarry. Thank you for your time.

  10. Hi. I am based in South Africa and I am interested on establishing an incinerator plant to address the challenge we are facing regarding hazardous waste. Could you please help.

    Thank you

    1. We can work with South Africa. For more information, please reach us by email.

      Thank you.

  11. Dear Sir,
    Thank you for sharing your very useful knowledge about Waste to Energy. I am studying waste to energy plant now.
    I would like to ask for some information regarding the ratio regarding capex and Opex related to Waste to Energy Plants.
    Does the capex also include land acquisition costs?
    What is the % of the cost for Civil Work to the total Capex?
    What is the % of repair & maintenance costs to the Capex and also to The Opex.
    How much is cost of chemical, is it better to compare % of chemical cost to the opex or capex ?
    Thank You

    1. Dear Fuad,

      Below are answers to your questions.
      OPEX per annum rarely exceed 5% of the CAPEX.
      CAPEX does not include land lease costs. Anyway, land lease costs are incomparable with the CAPEX.
      Civil works make up 30-50% of the CAPEX depending on the plant type and the technology.
      Detailisation of the OPEX to chemicals and repairs is not needed to determine the plant efficiency and is subject to the O&M agreement with the specialised company.

  12. I am a representative of a company here in Nigeria. We seek for a partner in establishing a waste to energy plant in Lagos State, Nigeria. Lagos city is one of the largest cities in Africa and densely populated too. The land is congested hence waste management is one of the most important environmental issues here. Currently, the landfill sites are getting closed up due to lack of land and as such, WTE plant/incinerator is considered a lucrative option.The State government is interested in PPP towards creating a facility. Based on your experience, could you be willing to introduce to us potential firms/partners. We seek for one urgently as we are about preparing our proposal and feasibility studies. Thanks!

      1. Hi Sir

        I’m in Africa I need the waste to energy that can power more than 20,000 House per day how much does it cost

        1. It depends on the chemical composition, HHV of the municipal solid waste and its moisture. A specialized developer should calculate the energy which can be extracted from 1 ton of MSW and compare it to the energy requires for homes. In this way, you can estimate the capacity of a waste-to-energy plant. Then, derive it preliminary cost estimation using the formula above.

          1. Thank you so much for your reply, so where can I find a A specialized developer that can do that for us and how can we work together in this project

          2. Our company is such a developer. We can do it during the feasibility study. Please explain your case by email which can be found on the Contacts page.

  13. Hello,
    1 – Do the costs above include for design fees and owner delivery / project management fees, statutory approval fees and the like, owners development contingency etc. or are they construction costs only?

    – EG are the cost below deemed to be ‘EPC turnkey’ costs or do additioanl costs need to be added when doing high level calcs?

    – Which location are the above costs based on? Ex US?

    Thank you

    1. Hello Jodi,

      The costs above show the plant CAPEX: i.e., turn-key price.

      Location does not affect costs too much, you can consider costs as a world-average.

  14. Hi
    I have received a turnkey offer of 234 million USD to build a 2600 ton/day WTE plant generating around 70 MW , it looks too good to be true according to your figures , any comments ?

    Regards

    Mohammed Majid

    1. Hi Mohammed,

      It depends on several factors: the strength of the EPC provider, location, waste quality. Cost estimation provided here in the article is the world average. We can construct plants significantly cheaper due to deep knowledge of the market and experience.

      Not to disclose sensitive information, let us continue this dialogue via email. We will write to you and share some thoughts privately.

      Best regards,
      WTEI team.

  15. Hello:

    Thanks for all the useful information and the useful Cost Calculator (not sure why other comments didn’t just use it). Questions are as follows:

    Is the cost from the calculator a total project (inclusive of design, CA, PM, etc.) or just a construction cost?

    I noticed that the web page is from 2015 so is the cost calculator generating 2015 costs that I should escalate to my actual construction date? Please define year of costs.

    Thanks

    1. Hello Mr Coffee,

      Thank you for your comment.

      Cost calculator and formula estimate the total world-average turn-key cost of the plant (CAPEX).

      From 2015, price estimation has not changed. Whilst the costs of materials and equipment escalate due to inflation, the total cost of the technology goes down due to mass production. So, estimations are still actual.

      And we as WTEI can construct the plant significantly cheaper (as we have the real practical experience and good knowledge of the market).

  16. Hi WTE,
    The calculator formula seems to assume the incinerator plant will have a Power generation plant attached to it. How is the formula affected if the plant is just for the Incinerator WITHOUT the electricity generation component

  17. I would like to know what it would cost to set up a waste to energy incineration plant with capacity of 100 tpd combustion, how many mWh such an undertaking would generate and how long it would take to construct.

    1. It highly depends on waste composition and moisture. For 100 tpd plant (which is very small size of the plant), typical electricity production could be 1.5 MW.

  18. i have a research about MSW and i want to know more about waste to energyy,, what is the size of one incineration plant? like dimensions? if there are many types perhaps could u tell me the average? because im designing a waste to energy facility as a task since im an engineering student.. please help me 🙂

  19. I am not sure I’m getting the calculation right but I want just a 1 ton/hour but I got just about $600k.

    Could you point to a company which makes that capacity?

    1. 1 ton per hour means some 8,000 ton per year. Calculator above will show 12 million USD,

      As it is said in the article, for such small capacities, price per ton raises rapidly. That is why we have such a big number.

      The formula discussed works well for capacities starting from 50,000 tpa, as it covers market of big incinerators.

      If you want incinerator for 1 ton per hour, we can provide it for you. Please fill out the form https://wteinternational.com/development/project-questionnaire/ or just describe your project details by email to [email protected]

      Thank you.

  20. Hello,
    i need an estimation of Incineration plant to process 200000 tpa of MSW, for energy generation. It will be more helpful if this cost is properly breaked-down into all components of, CAPEX & OPEX.

    BR,
    MUHAMMAD ARSLAN

  21. Usually annual operating and maintenance cost of the incineration plant is 5-7% of total construction cost..

  22. HI, Is there a rule of thumb on the ration of operation cost and maintenance cost over construction cost? For example WTE plant of 1200t/d

  23. Hi, does this your formula give the price of the entire components of the Integrated Waste Management system or only the incinerator compotent.

    1. This is the cost of incinerator plant, including all its infrastructure: presorting facility, incineration, flue gas cleaning system, energy generation, buildings etc.

      Integrated Waste Management system for a city includes waste collection, logistics, sorting, incineration plant, landfilling. It is a bigger system. Main cost in it has, however, incineration plant.

  24. I need a Waste to energy incineration plant with an annual capacity of 127,750 tons

    What is the costs of establishing such a plant?

  25. Hello. First of all, you can use our calculator on the right. If you want to calculate manually for 100,000 tpa plant, then please take into account that C=100 (capacity in 1000 metric tons of waste/year). So, formula is

    I = 2.3507×100^0.7753

    I = 83.5 (in million USD)

    So, CAPEX of a typical 100,000 tpa MSW incineration plant is 83.5 million USD.

    You can request calculation of the financial model of your plant online: https://wteinternational.com/development/financial-model/waste-to-energy-model/

    or hire us for consulting, development of feasibility study, construction supervision, etc.

  26. Hello. I tried to compute investment cost manually using the provided formulae (for a 100,000 tpa plant). I’m getting a pretty different cost. Are there additional variables factored in?

  27. Good day, I want to invite a Waste to Energy company to come invest in my community that boasts over 3million homes, offices and large markets with a lot of unused waste lying everywhere. I like the incinerator technology as it would get rid of the excess waste. Please, what Chinese Producers would you advise I contact for that. Thanks

  28. All European brands are on more or less same price level. The final cost of such a complicated facility as waste-to-energy plant depends on many factors:

    – location country
    – type of incineration technology selected
    – usage of periperal equipment such as generators, boilers, etc. by local suppliers
    – architectural solutions
    – waste composition and moisture, and so on.

    So there is no simple answer to your question. Final total cost of the plant can be properly estimated only during the feasibility study process.

  29. In waste-to-energy sector, the less expensive technology (per ton of annual capacity) is incineration, due to a huge number of installations and long history. There are a number of producers, European are most reputable and more expensive. Some Chinese producers offer today relatively cheaper incineration equipment conforming, however, to all modern ecological standards.

    Encore technology is mostly for tires, rubber, plastic, sludge etc. and, as other pyrolysis equipment, it is a bit more expensive than incineration.

    Actual prices we disclosure only for certain solid project upon signing of NDNCA.

  30. what is the exact figure for the Encore advanced pyrolysis tech plant? what is the most inexpensive project/ plant?